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Red20
17215.6
633311.9
65299.9
Blue29
9713.6
581315.3
110015.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3540203050602029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#10
15.61.4
11.610.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End5.0
red by 0.3
1100
#19
15.31.0
13.212.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Second
6333
#29
11.91.4
11.19.7
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 3.4
5813
#21
15.31.0
11.210.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
Third
6529
#32
9.91.4
10.08.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 3.6
97
#26
13.61.0
13.512.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed