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Red30
196513.6
542211.4
581315.3
Blue42
500015.2
8826.8
511213.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294801020406070803042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#21
15.30.1
10.210.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 11.5
88
#6
26.80.2
24.123.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
1965
#18
13.60.1
7.17.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 1.6
5000
#20
15.20.4
10.09.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
5422
#38
11.40.1
10.410.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.4
blue by 2.2
5112
#28
13.60.4
11.511.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed