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Red40
415110.6
17215.6
12517.3
Blue35
676315.8
9713.6
62019.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44453035405055604035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#12
17.30.3
18.918.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
red by 1.5
6763
#25
15.80.8
18.717.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Second
172
#10
15.60.3
10.09.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End5.0
red by 2.0
97
#26
13.60.8
13.712.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
4151
#14
10.60.3
14.013.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 0.9
6201
#37
9.70.8
10.09.2
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed