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Red41
287722.1
415110.6
584620.4
Blue15
17215.6
196513.6
500015.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4543152530354050554115

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.2
15.915.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.7
End3.7
red by 6.5
172
#10
15.62.9
14.511.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.9
End5.0
Second
20.40.2
14.614.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.4
End3.4
red by 5.2
5000
#20
15.22.9
14.111.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
4151
#14
10.60.2
12.312.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 3.0
1965
#18
13.62.9
12.59.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed