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Red75
323620.7
216827.6
196513.6
Blue35
12119.5
9713.6
12517.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545102040801001201407535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.62.6
22.425.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.6
End5.2
red by 8.1
121
#22
19.51.5
17.315.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Second
20.72.3
19.621.8
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 3.5
125
#12
17.31.5
18.517.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
Third
1965
#18
13.62.6
9.412.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Level
97
#26
13.61.5
12.911.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsEarned43%HAB Docking oddsMissed