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Red52
65299.9
7828.1
252317.5
Blue27
511213.6
415110.6
20799.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53422030607080905227

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
28.10.2
25.325.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
red by 14.5
5112
#28
13.61.4
13.812.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Second
2523
#17
17.50.2
14.514.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End3.1
red by 6.8
4151
#14
10.61.3
14.513.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
6529
#32
9.90.2
10.710.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
red by 0.1
2079
#35
9.81.3
11.310.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed