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Red65
7828.1
20799.8
9713.6
Blue18
5819.8
417614.0
542211.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060806518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#1
28.11.5
16.317.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
red by 8.3
58
#7
19.82.7
14.712.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End8.6
Second
97
#26
13.61.5
12.013.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 0.4
4176
#30
14.02.7
14.011.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
2079
#35
9.81.5
13.114.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End1.9
blue by 1.6
5422
#38
11.42.7
13.610.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed