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Red36
356616.3
2467.2
633311.9
Blue41
196513.6
65299.9
622413.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363825304045503641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
16.30.2
14.714.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 2.7
1965
#18
13.60.5
11.912.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Second
6333
#29
11.90.2
13.513.8
Auto2.4
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 1.2
6224
#24
13.10.5
13.113.6
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
246
#23
7.20.2
5.55.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 2.8
6529
#32
9.90.5
10.811.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed