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Red43
20799.8
356616.3
542211.4
Blue38
6920.7
320516.5
62019.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3954102030506070804338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3566
#11
16.30.2
15.315.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 4.4
69
#4
20.71.3
21.820.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End8.1
Second
5422
#38
11.40.3
11.912.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End3.4
blue by 5.1
3205
#36
16.51.3
17.816.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
2079
#35
9.80.3
10.010.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.4
End1.9
red by 0.1
6201
#37
9.71.3
11.510.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned