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Red30
622413.1
415110.6
581315.3
Blue19
323620.7
416912.1
62019.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43472030405060703019

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#21
15.31.0
12.911.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0
blue by 5.5
20.71.7
21.619.9
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
6224
#24
13.11.2
14.012.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 1.0
4169
#15
12.12.3
12.510.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Third
4151
#14
10.61.2
13.512.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 0.9
6201
#37
9.72.3
10.38.0
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed