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Red16
12517.3
65299.9
2467.2
Blue63
6920.7
7828.1
500015.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39622030507080901663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#12
17.31.8
19.117.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End3.4
blue by 10.8
78
#1
28.10.3
25.826.1
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End8.7
Second
6529
#32
9.91.8
11.59.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.1
End1.4
blue by 10.7
69
#4
20.70.3
20.520.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End8.1
Third
246
#23
7.21.4
6.04.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 8.1
5000
#20
15.20.3
13.113.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned