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Red49
416912.1
8826.8
676315.8
Blue31
356616.3
673113.6
511213.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573820804931

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#6
26.80.5
24.724.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.3
End2.4
red by 10.5
3566
#11
16.30.4
10.810.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Second
6763
#25
15.80.9
16.215.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 2.1
5112
#28
13.60.6
12.111.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End2.7
Third
4169
#15
12.10.9
12.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 1.5
6731
#33
13.60.6
13.212.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed