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Red59
5819.8
115328.7
416912.1
Blue79
8826.8
6920.7
581315.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626240507080905979

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
28.028.0
Auto4.9
Teleop16.7
End7.1
red by 1.9
88
#6
26.80.4
25.526.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.3
End2.4
Second
58
#7
19.80.0
19.119.1
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End8.6
blue by 0.9
69
#4
20.70.4
19.419.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End8.1
Third
4169
#15
12.10.0
11.411.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 3.2
5813
#21
15.30.4
14.014.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.0