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Red42
362311.6
673110.2
6123.1
Blue59
490814.8
173518.7
15516.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474210203060704259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#12
23.10.2
19.719.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End7.9
red by 4.4
18.71.3
13.715.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Second
3623
#39
11.60.2
11.311.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 4.9
155
#25
16.41.3
15.216.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Third
6731
#38
10.20.2
13.813.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End2.2
blue by 4.6
4908
#33
14.81.3
10.712.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed