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Red48
490814.8
549115.1
287618.0
Blue60
173518.7
110023.2
128913.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43512060804860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
15.916.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 5.3
23.20.6
20.721.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End8.7
Second
5491
#18
15.10.5
10.611.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
blue by 3.6
18.70.6
15.015.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Third
4908
#33
14.80.5
13.914.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 1.8
1289
#19
13.00.6
12.513.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsEarned