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Red76
12625.9
27137.7
498718.1
Blue53
287725.1
362311.6
178617.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54502030406070807653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#15
25.90.7
25.426.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End2.5
red by 0.7
2877
#17
25.10.4
23.724.0
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
4987
#16
18.10.7
16.216.9
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 0.6
1786
#31
17.50.4
12.613.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Third
2713
#36
7.70.7
9.410.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 3.9
3623
#39
11.60.4
11.111.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed