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Red38
207912.0
27859.2
178617.5
Blue80
6123.1
479614.5
287618.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4553204060803880

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1786
#31
17.50.5
14.814.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 5.6
61
#12
23.11.3
20.922.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End7.9
Second
2079
#30
12.00.5
13.913.3
Auto4.4
Teleop4.7
End2.8
blue by 6.0
18.01.3
16.818.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End4.2
Third
2785
#37
9.20.9
14.113.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.7
blue by 5.3
4796
#20
14.51.3
12.914.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned