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Red61
128913.0
19023.7
404818.7
Blue59
498718.1
8827.0
178617.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54622040801006159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#5
23.70.0
22.322.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.7
End8.4
blue by 3.3
88
#11
27.00.0
27.327.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.3
End4.7
Second
4048
#10
18.70.0
16.116.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End6.7
red by 0.6
4987
#16
18.10.0
16.816.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
1289
#19
13.00.0
12.712.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 4.5
1786
#31
17.50.0
14.314.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed