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Red39
27859.2
15718.5
581319.9
Blue79
13815.4
287725.1
110023.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5264203040607080901003979

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#23
19.90.7
19.118.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 5.2
2877
#17
25.11.2
25.326.6
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.4
Second
157
#13
18.50.7
18.718.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End7.7
blue by 4.7
23.21.2
22.323.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End8.7
Third
2785
#37
9.21.0
11.510.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.7
blue by 6.1
138
#14
15.41.2
12.613.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsEarned67%HAB Docking oddsEarned