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Red49
549115.1
545916.0
479614.5
Blue47
362311.6
27859.2
5823.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4649102030406070804947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#29
16.00.4
14.514.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.4
End2.4
blue by 7.2
58
#6
23.20.1
24.424.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End7.8
Second
5491
#18
15.10.4
14.915.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 3.6
3623
#39
11.60.1
11.711.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
4796
#20
14.50.4
14.114.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End4.3
red by 5.3
2785
#37
9.20.2
10.09.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsMissed