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Red52
612016.6
553017.9
503B16.1
Blue54
366813.3
50319.3
2834B13.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51482030406070805254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#21
17.90.2
17.918.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 1.3
503
#13
19.30.6
20.521.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Second
6120
#23
16.60.2
16.216.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End5.0
red by 3.3
13.30.6
10.511.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.4
Third
503B
#16
16.10.3
14.614.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 2.8
3668
#18
13.30.6
14.715.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsMissed