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Red58
283423.0
612016.6
81819.1
Blue65
150630.6
438119.5
2724.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638620401001201401605865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.5
22.121.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.5
End5.0
blue by 7.7
30.61.1
33.332.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.5
End7.3
Second
818
#2
19.10.5
20.319.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End5.6
blue by 5.7
27
#7
24.71.1
26.125.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
6120
#23
16.60.5
17.016.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.1
End5.0
blue by 2.9
19.51.1
22.221.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsMissed