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Red41
553017.9
366813.3
7422.7
Blue47
81819.1
439515.3
438119.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644050607080904147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#15
22.71.4
24.122.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.8
red by 3.2
19.50.9
24.123.2
Auto3.6
Teleop11.5
End4.4
Second
5530
#21
17.91.4
19.618.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 1.1
818
#2
19.10.9
21.320.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End5.6
Third
3668
#18
13.31.4
18.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 2.0
4395
#24
15.30.9
15.114.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned