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Red113
30226.8
171821.8
413027.0
Blue100
353828.8
173224.8
364133.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82974060120140113100

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.02.4
26.128.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End6.2
blue by 6.1
33.20.6
34.535.1
Auto3.1
Teleop23.7
End6.4
Second
302
#5
26.82.4
27.029.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
blue by 1.9
3538
#14
28.80.6
31.632.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.9
End4.4
Third
1718
#19
21.82.4
24.326.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End4.0
blue by 3.0
1732
#13
24.80.6
25.325.9
Auto3.3
Teleop13.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
51%Rocket oddsEarned76%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned