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Red74
439013.4
152814.7
999330.7
Blue86
50324.6
30226.8
505033.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59982040801201407486

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.6
27.629.2
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End4.9
blue by 3.1
33.80.4
35.134.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.6
End8.1
Second
1528
#21
14.71.2
12.413.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End4.4
blue by 12.2
302
#5
26.80.4
29.429.0
Auto4.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Third
4390
#24
13.41.2
15.817.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 11.2
503
#6
24.60.4
27.927.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
17%Rocket oddsEarned42%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned