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Red88
999818.0
999330.7
24019.8
Blue71
439013.4
152814.7
30226.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446202040801008871

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.74.0
13.117.1
Auto4.4
Teleop21.4
End4.9
red by 3.8
302
#5
26.80.8
30.231.1
Auto4.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
Second
240
#10
19.82.4
19.221.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.6
End5.5
red by 5.1
1528
#21
14.70.8
13.013.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End4.4
Third
9998
#12
18.04.0
9.713.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End3.7
red by 4.7
4390
#24
13.40.8
15.115.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned68%HAB Docking oddsEarned