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Red71
431120.7
490519.8
596213.2
Blue53
287613.2
490619.8
50112.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554730406070807153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#11
20.70.4
20.120.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End5.4
red by 0.9
19.80.0
19.519.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Second
19.80.4
19.319.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.8
red by 6.6
2876
#25
13.20.0
12.812.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Third
5962
#15
13.20.4
12.613.0
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End4.6
red by 0.4
501
#19
12.80.0
12.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0