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Red33
208414.3
779515.5
555614.0
Blue53
395820.6
9524.2
490918.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365820801003353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7795
#12
15.58.3
18.39.9
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 8.7
95
#7
24.20.3
22.121.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Second
2084
#21
14.30.1
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 6.2
3958
#10
20.60.3
16.716.4
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
5556
#32
14.00.1
12.712.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End2.5
blue by 4.0
4909
#13
18.00.5
15.715.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed