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Red44
287613.2
208414.3
50112.8
Blue33
17617.9
24237.3
431120.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324002060804433

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#21
14.30.0
11.411.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 6.4
4311
#11
20.70.5
13.913.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End5.4
Second
2876
#25
13.20.0
10.910.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
red by 5.3
1761
#38
7.90.5
11.611.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Third
501
#19
12.80.0
8.48.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 5.5
2423
#29
7.30.5
12.111.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed