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Red42
17617.9
50112.8
9524.2
Blue59
492916.6
490519.8
395820.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4547102030406070804259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#7
24.20.3
23.323.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End3.1
red by 3.6
3958
#10
20.61.0
16.417.3
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
501
#19
12.80.4
8.48.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
19.81.0
13.014.0
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.8
Third
1761
#38
7.90.4
11.110.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End3.3
blue by 8.7
16.61.0
15.116.0
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned