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Red38
208414.3
52659.4
476123.5
Blue31
50112.8
492916.6
393015.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463710203040506070803831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.5
21.120.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.8
red by 6.9
16.60.4
16.015.6
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End9.2
Second
2084
#21
14.30.5
11.510.9
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 1.0
3930
#36
15.40.7
10.69.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
5265
#37
9.40.5
10.510.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 3.4
501
#19
12.80.7
8.07.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned