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Red38
393015.4
782213.8
15714.2
Blue46
431120.7
226211.6
107313.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35390102030506070803846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3930
#36
15.40.5
9.910.4
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 5.4
4311
#11
20.71.0
12.613.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End5.4
Second
157
#27
14.20.5
11.712.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End5.8
red by 0.5
1073
#14
13.71.0
12.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.1
End4.2
Third
7822
#22
13.80.5
11.612.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 2.3
2262
#20
11.61.0
12.113.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned