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Red42
779515.5
575211.3
393015.4
Blue35
556314.8
782213.8
52659.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383410203050604235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7795
#12
15.50.7
12.713.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End3.4
red by 0.7
5563
#28
14.80.3
10.310.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Second
3930
#36
15.40.7
10.411.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 1.5
7822
#22
13.80.3
12.112.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Third
5752
#18
11.30.7
12.613.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.1
End2.4
red by 1.9
5265
#37
9.40.2
9.810.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed