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Red38
52659.4
264820.7
23819.1
Blue42
476123.5
15714.2
102711.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060801003842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.3
14.714.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
blue by 2.8
23.50.3
21.321.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.8
Second
238
#16
19.10.3
16.716.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End3.3
red by 4.9
157
#27
14.20.5
13.813.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.4
End5.8
Third
5265
#37
9.40.2
9.59.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 2.3
1027
#31
11.70.5
11.210.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed70%HAB Docking oddsEarned