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Red48
395820.6
782213.8
287613.2
Blue30
52659.4
393015.4
596213.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493810203060704830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#10
20.60.1
19.119.3
Auto2.8
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 5.2
3930
#36
15.40.6
11.110.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Second
7822
#22
13.80.2
12.412.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 0.7
5962
#15
13.20.6
14.714.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End4.6
Third
2876
#25
13.20.2
14.414.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
red by 3.8
5265
#37
9.40.4
10.09.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed