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Red68
264820.7
490519.8
476123.5
Blue46
782213.8
555614.0
416915.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60401020305070806846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.8
21.322.0
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End8.8
red by 7.8
4169
#23
15.80.4
12.212.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End3.9
Second
20.71.1
18.719.8
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
red by 6.7
5556
#32
14.00.6
12.913.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.8
End2.5
Third
19.80.8
16.617.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.8
red by 6.0
7822
#22
13.80.5
12.513.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
65%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed