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Red39
24237.3
779515.5
545915.2
Blue35
17617.9
287613.2
264820.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384520305060703935

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7795
#12
15.50.2
15.115.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 5.2
20.70.6
20.319.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Second
5459
#26
15.20.2
15.015.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End3.1
red by 2.0
2876
#25
13.20.6
13.813.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Third
2423
#29
7.30.2
6.36.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End1.3
blue by 0.6
1761
#38
7.90.6
8.68.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed