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Red67
416915.8
50112.8
490519.8
Blue34
287613.2
556314.8
226211.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46432030405060706734

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.1
18.019.2
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End6.8
red by 5.0
5563
#28
14.80.5
15.314.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Second
4169
#23
15.81.1
14.615.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End3.9
red by 2.6
2876
#25
13.20.5
13.212.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.3
End3.6
Third
501
#19
12.81.1
11.112.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
red by 1.2
2262
#20
11.60.5
12.111.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed