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Red69
237022.7
23030.8
715312.0
Blue59
102715.0
355518.2
740721.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67562040801006959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#2
30.80.1
30.030.2
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End7.5
red by 9.8
7407
#19
21.00.1
20.720.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
2370
#10
22.70.1
21.922.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End6.3
red by 4.5
3555
#11
18.20.1
17.918.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End6.5
Third
7153
#18
12.00.1
11.211.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End4.9
blue by 3.0
1027
#20
15.00.1
14.714.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End3.3