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Red30
169912.8
786911.9
405514.2
Blue53
237022.7
83910.7
365420.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943102030506070803053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#23
14.20.5
14.013.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 8.5
2370
#10
22.71.4
13.314.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End6.3
Second
1699
#24
12.80.8
11.510.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End3.5
blue by 8.0
20.80.9
16.417.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Third
7869
#28
11.90.8
11.610.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End2.3
red by 1.2
839
#27
10.70.8
10.611.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned