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Red74
107123.8
237022.7
712719.0
Blue64
455722.0
346419.9
23030.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5373204060801007464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.6
20.221.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End4.0
blue by 7.0
230
#2
30.80.3
29.529.1
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End7.5
Second
2370
#10
22.72.6
17.720.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End6.3
red by 0.7
22.00.3
20.019.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End7.0
Third
7127
#22
19.02.6
12.315.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End5.8
blue by 1.0
3464
#13
19.90.3
19.819.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsEarned