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Red38
18121.6
169912.8
237022.7
Blue65
346419.9
57120.1
22824.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6266203040507080901003865

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#10
22.72.0
22.720.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End6.3
blue by 2.1
228
#5
24.80.0
21.521.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
181
#16
21.61.4
22.721.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End6.6
red by 1.4
571
#14
20.10.0
21.020.9
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Third
1699
#24
12.82.2
13.611.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End3.5
blue by 7.1
3464
#13
19.90.0
19.619.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed55%HAB Docking oddsEarned