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Red74
22824.8
365420.8
346123.7
Blue63
237022.7
36349.5
23030.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646140507080907463

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#5
24.80.9
21.522.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3
blue by 6.0
230
#2
30.80.3
29.029.3
Auto5.3
Teleop17.9
End7.5
Second
23.70.9
20.621.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End6.1
red by 1.0
2370
#10
22.70.5
20.721.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End6.3
Third
20.80.9
18.619.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.8
End7.0
red by 11.4
3634
#29
9.50.5
8.28.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsEarned11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned