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Red52
68616.9
61424.3
284915.8
Blue64
632612.6
405014.7
291218.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6145020801005264

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#6
24.30.1
24.524.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.4
red by 6.1
2912
#20
18.20.4
17.217.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.8
Second
686
#9
16.90.1
17.217.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
red by 2.2
14.70.4
13.814.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
2849
#28
15.80.1
16.015.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End1.4
red by 3.1
6326
#14
12.60.4
11.712.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.1