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Red58
463818.0
632612.6
68616.9
Blue42
141821.5
777019.6
59458.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505802040801005842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#19
18.00.7
18.719.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 3.5
1418
#24
21.50.9
24.723.9
Auto2.5
Teleop15.1
End3.9
Second
686
#9
16.90.7
18.319.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End5.9
blue by 2.7
7770
#15
19.60.9
19.318.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
6326
#14
12.60.7
10.711.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End2.1
red by 4.1
5945
#29
8.50.9
10.79.8
Auto3.3
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed18%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed