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Red49
284915.8
365010.8
253425.6
Blue38
78798.8
450513.1
394114.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6045020801001204938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.5
26.526.0
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End6.9
red by 11.0
3941
#23
14.60.3
16.416.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Second
2849
#28
15.80.5
18.117.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End1.4
red by 2.7
4505
#26
13.10.3
15.915.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Third
3650
#22
10.80.5
12.011.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 2.0
7879
#30
8.80.3
10.710.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed