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Red46
394114.6
511511.2
777019.6
Blue29
291218.2
338910.5
141821.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48572040801004629

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7770
#15
19.60.0
18.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 1.9
1418
#24
21.51.7
23.922.2
Auto2.5
Teleop15.1
End3.9
Second
3941
#23
14.60.0
16.016.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.6
blue by 3.6
2912
#20
18.21.7
18.316.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End4.8
Third
5115
#25
11.20.0
11.111.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End3.0
red by 0.7
3389
#10
10.51.7
12.210.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed