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Red42
188523.4
424219.8
253713.3
Blue32
463818.0
583012.7
394114.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73562040801004232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.42.5
29.827.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End3.5
red by 5.4
4638
#19
18.01.4
20.118.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Second
19.82.5
22.219.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
red by 5.2
3941
#23
14.61.4
18.216.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
2537
#17
13.32.5
16.914.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 0.6
5830
#12
12.71.4
15.113.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed