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Red39
219918.8
777019.6
450513.1
Blue47
623920.2
188523.4
61424.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6581020401001201403947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7770
#15
19.61.7
21.019.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 4.7
614
#6
24.32.0
27.625.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.4
Second
2199
#21
18.81.7
22.821.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End5.8
blue by 4.6
23.42.0
27.325.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End3.5
Third
4505
#26
13.11.7
17.615.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.8
blue by 7.2
6239
#13
20.22.0
22.020.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsMissed