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Red71
623920.2
583012.7
141821.5
Blue73
237722.9
424219.8
88818.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566402040801001207173

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#24
21.50.3
21.221.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.1
End3.9
blue by 1.4
22.90.2
22.823.0
Auto5.3
Teleop13.6
End4.0
Second
6239
#13
20.20.3
19.920.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.9
End2.6
red by 0.4
19.80.2
19.719.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Third
5830
#12
12.70.3
12.412.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End6.1
blue by 5.4
888
#27
18.10.2
18.018.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End4.6